Our new data page, CPI Inflation Contributions from Goods and Services, details the evolution of inflation using the consumer ...

Calendar-year inflation forecasts from Federal Open Market Committee meeting participants typically start near 2% and then ...

We document key stylized facts about the time-series trends and cross-sectional distributions of AI pricing and study its ...

The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco is hosting its Annual Conference on Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy in San Francisco on Friday, February 21, 2025. The conference aims to bring together ...

It’s great to be in New York again and to have the opportunity to speak with you about the economy and monetary policy. I very much appreciate the invitation, and I look forward to a lively discussion ...

The COVID-19 inflation surge experienced abroad undoubtedly left its mark on U.S. inflation. As global economies return to business as usual, it is natural to ask whether international considerations ...

I’m delighted, and it’s good to see everybody in the audience. Thank you for having me. Well, I think the jobs market data being revised and going back and forth is just a good lesson of why you can’t ...

At an event hosted by New York University Stern School of Business, President Mary C. Daly discussed the progress the Federal Reserve has made in bringing inflation down and the importance of looking ...

The economy has significantly improved from just two years ago. Inflation has fallen substantially, and the labor market has returned to a more sustainable path. A soft landing is achievable, and the ...

Small businesses play an important role in the American economy, both as employers, and as drivers of economic activity in local communities. In recent years, many small business owners have had to ...

CPI Inflation Contributions from Goods and Services updates data on how much different types of goods and services contribute to changes in consumer price index (CPI) inflation. This tool is intended ...

Standard asset pricing models reconcile high equity premia with smooth risk-free rates by inducing an inverse functional relationship between the mean and the variance of the stochastic discount ...